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	<title>Great Recession &#187; geithner</title>
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	<link>http://www.greatrecession.info</link>
	<description>Because it's not a Depression.Yet.</description>
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		<title>Cash for Trash</title>
		<link>http://www.greatrecession.info/2009/03/25/cash-for-trash/</link>
		<comments>http://www.greatrecession.info/2009/03/25/cash-for-trash/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Mar 2009 12:17:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>alex.foti</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[reheated]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aig]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geithner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[krugman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[toxic assets]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.greatrecession.info/?p=2834</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ By Paul Krugman

Monday, March 23, 2009

Over the weekend newspapers reported leaked details about the Obama administration&#8217;s bank rescue plan, which is to be officially released this week.
If the reports are correct, Tim Geithner, the Treasury secretary, has persuaded President Obama to recycle Bush administration policy &#8212; specifically, the &#8220;cash for trash&#8221; plan proposed, then [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><span class="bylinetext"> By Paul Krugman<br />
</span></div>
<div class="pubdate"><span class="pubdatetext">Monday, March 23, 2009</span></div>
<div class="bodytextdiv">
<p>Over the weekend newspapers reported leaked details about the Obama administration&#8217;s bank rescue plan, which is to be officially released this week.</p>
<p>If the reports are correct, Tim Geithner, the Treasury secretary, has persuaded President Obama to recycle Bush administration policy &#8212; specifically, the &#8220;cash for trash&#8221; plan proposed, then abandoned, six months ago by then-Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson.</p>
<p>This is more than disappointing. In fact, it fills me with a sense of despair.</p>
<p>After all, we&#8217;ve just been through the firestorm over the A.I.G. bonuses, during which administration officials claimed that they knew nothing, couldn&#8217;t do anything, and anyway it was someone else&#8217;s fault.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the administration has failed to quell the public&#8217;s doubts about what banks are doing with taxpayer money.</p>
<p>And now Mr. Obama has apparently settled on a financial plan that, in essence, assumes that banks are fundamentally sound and that bankers know what they&#8217;re doing.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s as if the president were determined to confirm the growing perception that he and his economic team are out of touch, that their economic vision is clouded by excessively close ties to Wall Street. And by the time Mr. Obama realizes that he needs to change course, his political capital may be gone.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s talk for a moment about the economics of the situation.</p>
<p>Right now, our economy is being dragged down by our dysfunctional financial system, which has been crippled by huge losses on mortgage-backed securities and other assets.</p>
<p>As economic historians can tell you, this is an old story, not that different from dozens of similar crises over the centuries. And there&#8217;s a time-honored procedure for dealing with the aftermath of widespread financial failure. It goes like this: The government secures confidence in the system by guaranteeing many (though not necessarily all) bank debts. At the same time, it takes temporary control of truly insolvent banks, in order to clean up their books.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s what Sweden did in the early 1990&#8217;s. It&#8217;s also what we Americans did after the savings and loan debacle of the Reagan years. And there&#8217;s no reason we can&#8217;t do the same thing now.</p>
<p>But the Obama administration, like the Bush administration, apparently wants an easier way out. The common element to the Paulson and Geithner plans is the insistence that the bad assets on banks&#8217; books are really worth much, much more than anyone is currently willing to pay for them. In fact, their true value is so high that if they were properly priced, banks wouldn&#8217;t be in trouble.</p>
<p>And so the plan is to use taxpayer funds to drive the prices of bad assets up to &#8220;fair&#8221; levels. Mr. Paulson proposed having the government buy the assets directly. Mr. Geithner instead proposes a complicated scheme in which the government lends money to private investors, who then use the money to buy the stuff. The idea, says Mr. Obama&#8217;s top economic adviser, is to use &#8220;the expertise of the market&#8221; to set the value of toxic assets.</p>
<p>But the Geithner scheme would offer a one-way bet: If asset values go up, the investors profit, but if they go down, the investors can walk away from their debt. So this isn&#8217;t really about letting markets work. It&#8217;s just an indirect, disguised way to subsidize purchases of bad assets.</p>
<p>The likely cost to taxpayers aside, there&#8217;s something strange going on here. By my count, this is the third time Obama administration officials have floated a scheme that is essentially a rehash of the Paulson plan, each time adding a new set of bells and whistles and claiming that they&#8217;re doing something completely different. This is starting to look obsessive.</p>
<p>But the real problem with this plan is that it won&#8217;t work. Yes, troubled assets may be somewhat undervalued. But the fact is that financial executives literally bet their banks on the belief that there was no housing bubble, and the related belief that unprecedented levels of household debt were no problem.</p>
<p>They lost that bet. And no amount of financial hocus-pocus &#8212; for that is what the Geithner plan amounts to &#8211;  will change that fact.</p>
<p>You might say, why not try the plan and see what happens? One answer is that time is wasting: Every month that we fail to come to grips with the economic crisis another 600,000 jobs are lost.</p>
<p>Even more important, however, is the way Mr. Obama is squandering his credibility. If this plan fails &#8212; as it almost surely will &#8212; it&#8217;s unlikely that he&#8217;ll be able to persuade Congress to come up with more funds to do what he should have done in the first place.</p>
<p>All is not lost: The public wants Mr. Obama to succeed, which means that he can still rescue his bank rescue plan. But time is running out.</p></div>
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		<title>Lame Obama, Lame Geithner</title>
		<link>http://www.greatrecession.info/2009/02/11/lame-obama-lame-geithner/</link>
		<comments>http://www.greatrecession.info/2009/02/11/lame-obama-lame-geithner/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Feb 2009 16:05:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>alex.foti</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[halfbaked]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bad bank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fiscal stimulus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geithner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[toxic assets]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.greatrecession.info/?p=1064</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Obama&#8217;s stimulus package was voted by the Senate in a different form from the House&#8217;s version yday. So the House and the Senate will have to spend days bargaining over a common plan. It&#8217;s $800bn and it&#8217;s finally fiscal, not monetary like all the good money wasted &#8217;til now. But it&#8217;s hard to get one&#8217;s [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Obama&#8217;s stimulus package was voted by the Senate in a different form from the House&#8217;s version yday. So the House and the Senate will have to spend days bargaining over a common plan. It&#8217;s $800bn and it&#8217;s finally fiscal, not monetary like all the good money wasted &#8217;til now. But it&#8217;s hard to get one&#8217;s hope up in terms of social fairness and redistribution. As the Senate was voting, BHO was asked by a Florida unemployed about increasing unemployment benefits. The body language of the black prez showed acute embarrassment. He said they&#8217;ll be increased by just $100 a month, while the guy had proposed automatic income supplements for whoever loses her/his job or is forced to take a drastic cut in pay, so to make her/his previous income whole.</p>
<p>Later, i saw Geithner&#8217;s testimony. He wants to give yet more money to banks &#8220;to restore trust and the flow of lending&#8221;.  He came up with a vague plan for a bad bank with public and private money to absorb toxic assets. Same faulty approach of last year&#8217;s TARP program. I mean GoldmanSachs Paulson and Wall Street Geithner differ in the fact that at least the latter wants private capital to chip in in the mess it created. But hell, it&#8217;s still money with no strings attached, and it doesn&#8217;t put a value on these assets (think McMansions in the Nevada desert: how much are they worth now?).</p>
<p>Only nationalization of banks and socialization of credit will get us out of the slump, while undermining the power of those who got us into this mess. Eurobankers stay incredibly arrogant, viz. ackermann in germany or mazzotta in italy. These greedy dumbsters will hoard all the public money they receive and keep lending at penalty rates. Damn it, let&#8217;s make élites cough up this cash for social spending. The $10 trillion which, one way or the other, are being thrown at the parallel banking system and stimulus plan amount to more than $1.400 that could be given to every human on the planet. And most of these folks would spend this money instead of hoarding it.</p>
<p>Also no progressive policy is sustainable without restrictions on capital movements. The era of financial globalization ended in misery and indignity. Let&#8217;s make sure it doesn&#8217;t happen again. A minimal social <span class="nfakPe">plank</span> for the left in europe and elsewhere could be:</p>
<p>- basic income and living wage<br />
- socialization of credit<br />
- taxation of wealth<br />
- controls on capital movements and fixed exchange rates<br />
- deficit spending on environment, culture, education, community empowerment financed by money creation</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s unite on March 28 and April 1st against financial capitalism. Let&#8217;s do a joint Mayday to make&#8217;em pay.</p>
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